Updated · July 2026
How close are we to general-purpose robotics?When will robots handle everyday work?
When will robots handle everyday work?How close are we to general-purpose robotics?
Legged locomotion is essentially solved, but dexterous manipulation and open-world autonomy are not, so today's factory and home robots run narrow, supervised, and heavily teleoperated.Robots can walk, run and keep their balance beautifully now. The hard part left is hands and judgment: doing varied tasks all day, safely, without a human quietly steering.
Recorded milestones
Atlas parkour
Figure 03 logistics deployment at BMW
Open tests · conceptual branches
- OPEN TEST02 ↗Handle unfamiliar objects and toolsDexterous manipulationRobots grab an apple almost every time, but a spoon, scissors or a fitted part still trips them up.Transfer fine-motor skills across unfamiliar objects, tools and cluttered scenes
- OPEN TEST03 ↗Work for hours without a human steeringOpen-world autonomyHome and factory robots still lean on remote operators and reset every 30-90 minutes. Boring, reliable shifts are the goal.Complete multi-hour tasks safely with rare human intervention or teleoperation
- OPEN TEST04 ↗Cost less than the work is worthLabor economicsA $20k price tag ignores the teleoperators, supervision and repairs that make a robot-hour actually work.Fully-loaded cost per useful hour competitive with human labor
The path shows Figure 03 logistics deployment at BMW. Open thresholds are separate tests in a conceptual map, not a forecast. No single percentage represents progress.
Where we standWhere we stand
The current stage, the evidence recorded, and the single threshold that gates the next stage.The stage reached, the evidence recorded, and the one test still blocking the next step.
What the evidence has shownWhat the evidence has shown
Robots can walk, run and keep their balance beautifully now. The hard part left is hands and judgment: doing varied tasks all day, safely, without a human quietly steering.Legged locomotion is essentially solved, but dexterous manipulation and open-world autonomy are not, so today's factory and home robots run narrow, supervised, and heavily teleoperated.
The next testBlocking threshold
Handle unfamiliar objects and toolsDexterous manipulationIndependent long-horizon manipulation trials on tools and deformable objects, e.g. pi-0.6 field runsIndependent long-horizon manipulation trials on tools and deformable objects, e.g. pi-0.6 field runs
What would count as proof?What would count as proof?
A clear test, the evidence behind it, and the limits of the claim.A clear test, the evidence behind it, and what it still leaves open.
Walk, run and keep balance like an animalDynamic locomotion & balance
Getting around on two legs used to be the famous hard problem. Reinforcement learning has mostly cracked it.Robust bipedal walking, running and whole-body recovery over uneven terrain
Recorded result RL whole-body control; Atlas, Unitree and others walk, run and recover from shoves
SOURCE RECORD
Boston Dynamics x RAI Institute: RL for Atlas (2026) ↗Timeline · Boston Dynamics Atlas runs parkour ↗Timeline · Unitree G1 drops to $16,000 ↗Still to demonstrateWhat this does not establishA separate system can still have different conditions and results.The named measurement has no wider implication until the supporting system test is also shown.
View every evidence record
Achieved
Walk, run and keep balance like an animalDynamic locomotion & balance
Getting around on two legs used to be the famous hard problem. Reinforcement learning has mostly cracked it.Robust bipedal walking, running and whole-body recovery over uneven terrain
Recorded result: 2024 · RL whole-body control; Atlas, Unitree and others walk, run and recover from shoves
Boston Dynamics x RAI Institute: RL for Atlas (2026) ↗Timeline · Boston Dynamics Atlas runs parkour ↗Timeline · Unitree G1 drops to $16,000 ↗
Open test
Handle unfamiliar objects and toolsDexterous manipulation
Robots grab an apple almost every time, but a spoon, scissors or a fitted part still trips them up.Transfer fine-motor skills across unfamiliar objects, tools and cluttered scenes
Next test: Independent long-horizon manipulation trials on tools and deformable objects, e.g. pi-0.6 field runs
Open test
Work for hours without a human steeringOpen-world autonomy
Home and factory robots still lean on remote operators and reset every 30-90 minutes. Boring, reliable shifts are the goal.Complete multi-hour tasks safely with rare human intervention or teleoperation
Next test: Published intervention-rate and uptime data from paid deployments
Open test
Cost less than the work is worthLabor economics
A $20k price tag ignores the teleoperators, supervision and repairs that make a robot-hour actually work.Fully-loaded cost per useful hour competitive with human labor
Next test: Multi-site customers renew deployments without vendor operators on site
The record behind the verdictThe record behind the verdict
Major milestones and smaller context events share one source-linked record. Scheduled targets are marked separately from recorded events.Milestones, smaller events and setbacks share one sourced record. Scheduled targets are marked separately from recorded events.
Event key
Fixed industrial arms
Recorded event: “Unimate, the first industrial robot, joins a GM line”.
Dynamic legged locomotion
This record spans “Honda unveils ASIMO” to “DARPA Robotics Challenge Finals (and the falls)”.
The vision-language-action turn
This record spans “Boston Dynamics Atlas runs parkour” to “Open X-Embodiment pools cross-robot data”.
General-purpose humanoids
This record spans “pi-0 code and weights released” to “First Neo units ship to homes” and includes scheduled targets.
Additional records
This record spans “Digit enters a multi-year warehouse deployment” to “Tesla's stated goal: mass humanoid manufacturing” and includes scheduled targets.
The data behind the verdictThe data behind the verdict
Read each measure with its units, conditions, uncertainty and source; targets remain distinct from observations.Read each chart with its conditions, limits and source. Future targets remain distinct from recorded results.
Methods & conditions
Under the measurement.
The boundary of a measurement changes what it means.
Cross-robot gains are benchmark-relative
Method and conditions
Open X-Embodiment combined 60 datasets from 34 labs and 22 embodiments. RT-1-X improved performance by 50% in small-data evaluations, while RT-2-X scored 3× RT-2 on the project's emergent-skill evaluation. These are relative benchmark results, not absolute reliability rates.
Source notes
Technical notes and sources
Each note keeps its authored method, conditions and citations available for review.
Cross-robot gains are benchmark-relative
Open X-Embodiment combined 60 datasets from 34 labs and 22 embodiments. RT-1-X improved performance by 50% in small-data evaluations, while RT-2-X scored 3× RT-2 on the project's emergent-skill evaluation. These are relative benchmark results, not absolute reliability rates.
Open π₀ still needs local robot data
Open π₀'s authors report that adapting it to individual tasks generally required 1-20 hours of robot data, but explicitly warn that adaptation to outside platforms may fail.
Helix splits reasoning from control
Helix separates slower semantic reasoning from fast motor control: its onboard VLM runs at 7-9 Hz, while the action system handles high-rate continuous upper-body control. “Pick up virtually anything” remains Figure's wording, not an independently bounded success rate.
Gemini's gains lack deployment measures
Gemini Robotics reportedly more than doubled average performance over previous VLAs on DeepMind's generalization benchmark; Gemini Robotics-ER achieved 2-3× Gemini 2.0's success rate in an end-to-end internal setup. Neither result supplies paid-deployment uptime or intervention data.
On-device transfer followed adaptation
Gemini Robotics On-Device's nine-task internal evaluation reported roughly 0.52-0.74 success rates, versus approximately 0.11-0.36 for the previous on-device baseline. It was trained principally for ALOHA and then adapted to Franka and Apollo, so this is transfer after adaptation-not zero-shot embodiment interchangeability.
Synthetic-data gains are model-level
NVIDIA generated 780,000 synthetic trajectories, described as equivalent to 6,500 demonstration-hours, in 11 hours; mixing them with real data improved GR00T N1 by 40% against NVIDIA's real-data-only baseline. This is an internal model result, not a 40% improvement in deployed labor productivity.
Digit's deployment metrics remain sparse
Digit's 100,000-tote result demonstrates repeated production cycles, but the published workflow remains tote pickup, carrying and placement integrated with AMRs and conveyors. Agility does not publish intervention rate, robot-hours, fleet size, throughput per robot or cost per tote.
Autonomy still includes human recovery
In the π₀.6 partner results, incorporating deployment-specific laundry data reduced missed-grasp sequences by 42% and interventions by 50%. Human-in-the-loop operators still handle failures, making intervention frequency-not binary “autonomous” labeling-the important variable.
Fifteen-minute memory is not a work shift
Multi-scale Embodied Memory retains recent observations through a video encoder but compresses long-term state into natural-language memories selected by the model. Its demonstrated horizon is up to 15 minutes, still well short of an unsupervised work shift.
Instrument reading is a component test
Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6's internal instrument-reading score rose from 23% for ER 1.5 to 86%, or 93% with agentic vision. This evaluates perception and reasoning over instrument images; it does not demonstrate autonomous physical inspection end to end.
π₀.7 separates heterogeneous behaviours
π₀.7's key mechanism is multimodal conditioning-language, strategy metadata, desired episode duration and visual subgoals-which lets heterogeneous human, robot and autonomous-experience data coexist without conflating different behaviours. Its claimed compositional generalization remains developer-evaluated.
If the remaining tests pass.If the remaining tests pass.
Downstream capabilities remain conditional on results that are not yet in.These are possible next capabilities, conditional on results that are not yet in.
- PASSED · 202401 ↗Walk, run and keep balance like an animalDynamic locomotion & balanceGetting around on two legs used to be the famous hard problem. Reinforcement learning has mostly cracked it.Robust bipedal walking, running and whole-body recovery over uneven terrain
- OPEN TEST02 ↗Handle unfamiliar objects and toolsDexterous manipulationRobots grab an apple almost every time, but a spoon, scissors or a fitted part still trips them up.Transfer fine-motor skills across unfamiliar objects, tools and cluttered scenes
- OPEN TEST03 ↗Work for hours without a human steeringOpen-world autonomyHome and factory robots still lean on remote operators and reset every 30-90 minutes. Boring, reliable shifts are the goal.Complete multi-hour tasks safely with rare human intervention or teleoperation
- OPEN TEST04 ↗Cost less than the work is worthLabor economicsA $20k price tag ignores the teleoperators, supervision and repairs that make a robot-hour actually work.Fully-loaded cost per useful hour competitive with human labor
Possible, if the open tests pass.
Safer dangerous work
This is a possible benefit only if safer dangerous work works safely, reliably and at useful scale.Potential benefit only if the stated use (Safer dangerous work) is demonstrated with evidence for safety, reliability, affordability and scale.
Abundant physical labor
This is a possible benefit only if abundant physical labor works safely, reliably and at useful scale.Potential benefit only if the stated use (Abundant physical labor) is demonstrated with evidence for safety, reliability, affordability and scale.
Independent living support
This is a possible benefit only if independent living support works safely, reliably and at useful scale.Potential benefit only if the stated use (Independent living support) is demonstrated with evidence for safety, reliability, affordability and scale.
Meet the builders.Meet the builders.
The organisations, their approaches, and the evidence behind them.The teams doing the work, the money around them, and what the record can support.
USA · company
Figure AI
Humanoid hardware, Helix vision-language-action models and factory/logistics deployments.
Capital is context, not a demonstration.
Company source ↗View every builder record
Figure AI
USA · company · Humanoid hardware, Helix vision-language-action models and factory/logistics deployments.
Funding: Series C · >$1B · Sep 2025 · $39B post-money valuation
Named investors: Parkway Venture Capital · Brookfield · NVIDIA · Macquarie Capital · Intel Capital
The valuation is not funding, and announced factory capacity is not achieved robot output.
Company source ↗Apptronik
USA · company · Apollo humanoid for manufacturing and logistics, with Google DeepMind model collaboration.
Funding: Series A · $403M · Mar 2025
Named investors: B Capital · Capital Factory · Google · Mercedes-Benz · Japan Post Capital
Company source ↗Agility Robotics
USA · company · Digit humanoid and Arc fleet platform for repetitive warehouse movement.
Funding: Series B · $150M · Apr 2022
Named investors: DCVC · Playground Global · Amazon Industrial Innovation Fund · Sony Innovation Fund
A proposed SPAC valuation is not treated as a completed funding round.
Company source ↗Physical Intelligence
USA · company · Cross-embodiment pi-series foundation policies and deployment-specific adaptation.
Funding: Funding not recorded in this record.
Funding is omitted because no primary company announcement verifying reported round totals was found.
Company source ↗Google DeepMind Robotics
UK / USA · lab · Gemini Robotics, embodied reasoning and Open X-Embodiment research.
Funding: Funding not recorded in this record.
Funded inside Alphabet; no standalone lab financing round.
Company source ↗NVIDIA Robotics
USA · lab · GR00T open models, simulation, synthetic data and robot-compute platforms.
Funding: Funding not recorded in this record.
NVIDIA corporate financing is not represented as robotics-lab funding.
Company source ↗Follow the evidence.Follow the evidence.
48 sources — every figure on this page traces to one.48 sources — every figure on this page traces to one.
- 01
BMW Group: Figure 03 physical-AI project at Spartanburg (2026)
Read source ↗press.bmwgroup.comUsed on this pageScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 02
Physical Intelligence, pi-0.5: a VLA with open-world generalization (arXiv 2504.16054)
Read source ↗arxiv.orgUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 03
Boston Dynamics x RAI Institute: RL for Atlas (2026)
Read source ↗rai-inst.comUsed on this pageAll 1 use across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 04
The Robot Report: 1X opens Neo pre-orders
Read source ↗therobotreport.comScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 05
Timeline · Unimate, the first industrial robot, joins a GM line
Read source ↗spectrum.ieee.orgUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 06
Timeline · Honda unveils ASIMO
Read source ↗global.hondaUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 07
Timeline · DARPA Robotics Challenge Finals (and the falls)
Read source ↗spectrum.ieee.orgUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 08
Timeline · Boston Dynamics Atlas runs parkour
Read source ↗spectrum.ieee.orgScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 09
Timeline · Tesla shows first Optimus prototype
Read source ↗cnbc.comUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 10
Timeline · Google DeepMind's RT-2 vision-language-action model
Read source ↗deepmind.googleUsed on this pageScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 11
Timeline · Open X-Embodiment pools cross-robot data
Read source ↗robotics-transformer-x.github.ioUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 12
Timeline · Digit enters a multi-year warehouse deployment
Read source ↗investors.gxo.comUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 13
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 14
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 15
Timeline · Physical Intelligence releases pi-0
Read source ↗pi.websiteUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 16
Timeline · 4 million industrial robots now in factories
Read source ↗ifr.orgUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 17
Timeline · pi-0 code and weights released
Read source ↗pi.websiteUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 18
Timeline · Helix controls a humanoid upper body
Read source ↗figure.aiUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 19
Timeline · Gemini Robotics adds direct actions
Read source ↗deepmind.googleUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 20
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 21
Timeline · Physical Intelligence pi-0.5 generalizes to new homes
Read source ↗pi.websiteScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 22
Timeline · Gemini Robotics runs on-device
Read source ↗deepmind.googleUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 23
Timeline · Digit passes 100,000 totes moved
Read source ↗agilityrobotics.comUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 24
Timeline · pi-0.6 reaches customer-site tasks
Read source ↗pi.websiteUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 25
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 26
Timeline · Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6 opens by API
Read source ↗deepmind.googleUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 27
Timeline · pi-0.7 recombines manipulation skills
Read source ↗pi.websiteUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 28
Timeline · Figure 03 deploys for logistics at BMW Spartanburg
Read source ↗figure.aiScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 29
Timeline · Tesla's stated goal: mass humanoid manufacturing
Read source ↗electrek.coUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 30
Engineer note · Synthetic-data gains are model-level
Read source ↗nvidianews.nvidia.comScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 31
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 32
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 33
companies · Agility Robotics
Read source ↗agilityrobotics.comUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 34
companies · Physical Intelligence
Read source ↗pi.websiteUsed on this pageAll 1 use across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 35
companies · Google DeepMind Robotics
Read source ↗deepmind.googleUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 36
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 37
people · Jonathan Hurst
Read source ↗agilityrobotics.comUsed on this pageAll 1 use across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 38
market · 4.66M industrial robots operating worldwide
Read source ↗ifr.orgUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 39
market · Professional service-robot sales grew 9%
Read source ↗ifr.orgUsed on this pageAll 1 use across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 40
market · China reports more than 300 humanoid products
Read source ↗english.www.gov.cnUsed on this pageAll 1 use across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 41
market · $5T humanoid market scenario by 2050
Read source ↗apnews.comUsed on this pageAll 2 uses across 2 destinations
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 42
geography · European Union
Read source ↗eur-lex.europa.euUsed on this pageAll 1 use across 1 destination
Scope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 43
Figure AI official site
Read source ↗figure.aiScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 44
Apptronik official site
Read source ↗apptronik.comScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 45
Agility Robotics official site
Read source ↗agilityrobotics.comScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 46
Google DeepMind official site
Read source ↗deepmind.googleScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 47
Google DeepMind identity
Read source ↗deepmind.googleScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
- 48
NVIDIA Robotics official site
Read source ↗research.nvidia.comScope: Not recorded. Limit: Not recorded.
Sources describe evidence. Inclusion is not endorsement.